trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -33.6% | -39.9% | 0% | 0% | -39.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -50.7% | -55.4% | 0% | 0% | -51.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -35.3% | -41.5% | 12% | 0% | -40.3% |
| all | 8 | -35.3% | -41.5% | 12% | 0% | -40.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.5% | 0% | -40.3% |
| 10% | -47.1% | 0% | -46.0% |
| 15% | -52.2% | 0% | -51.2% |
| 20% | -56.9% | 0% | -56.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $52 | −$17 | -34% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $86 | −$16 | -18% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 02 | $42 | −$32 | -77% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $65 | −$48 | -74% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 18 | $65 | −$4 | -7% |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 18 | $40 | −$21 | -53% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 18 | $45 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 03 | $30 | −$7 | -23% |