trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 12 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election | Aug 22 | $2 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Aug 12 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Aug 12 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Aug 12 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | Aug 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election? | Aug 11 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Aug 10 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 1.5%? | Aug 10 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 01 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jul 31 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jul 31 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Jul 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jul 30 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jul 30 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and | Jul 30 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jul 29 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jul 29 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jul 29 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 29 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 27 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 26% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.3% |