trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 67% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 25% | 8% | -10.4% |
| all | 27 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 26% | 11% | +15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 11% | +15.5% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 11% | +4.5% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 7% | -5.6% |
| 20% | -38.7% | 4% | -14.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 22? | May 24 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 23? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 20 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 04 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 31 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 22 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 19 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 14 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 06 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 20 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 15 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 11 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Knicks | Feb 11 | $236 | +$122 | +52% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 08 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 04 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 01 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | Jan 28 | $4 | −$1 | -11% |