Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2B 0x2b85…bccc crypto 1169 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-1%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate82%961W / 208L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day76.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$11
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$25
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -2.3% -11.6% 45% 3% -11.6%
≤30d 1169 -1.9% -11.3% 82% 15% -11.4%
≤90d 1169 -1.9% -11.3% 82% 15% -11.4%
all 1169 -1.9% -11.3% 82% 15% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 15% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 2% -19.8%
15% -27.5% 1% -27.6%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses961 / 208
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1169 / 1169
History coverage26d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day76.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1169 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2527 history records