Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:11:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
2B 0x2b84…d32f crypto 752 markets active 0h ago coverage 58d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$137 (-4%) realized −$137 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate78%586W / 166L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day21.8pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$16
14 days−$69
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$156
other 5% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -2.9% -12.2% 89% 12% -12.5%
≤30d 541 +0.7% -8.9% 82% 22% -12.3%
≤90d 752 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 17% -13.6%
all 752 -5.3% -14.3% 78% 17% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 17% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 16% -21.9%
15% -30.0% 16% -29.4%
20% -36.9% 15% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses586 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)752 / 752
History coverage58d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 752 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 32m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 37m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2005 history records