Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b81…88e7
sports · 826 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,695 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,688 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$8,688
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses417 / 605
Est. fees paid−$423
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1022 / 826
History coverage21d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day152.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 2 History 1022 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,971
7 days−$3,974
14 days−$5,036
30 days−$8,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 56¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 32¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-22? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) San Diego Padres 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? No 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Roman Safiullin 60¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? No 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie Havlickova Lucie Havlickova 17¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Vegalta Sendai vs. Yokohama FC: O/U 2.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Draw at halftime? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 20¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-05-22? No 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Cavaliers 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Thunder 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Lucie Havlickov Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Despina Papamichail vs Hanyu Guo Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Südtirol vs. SSC Bari: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-22? Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Istanbul: Mert Alkaya vs Georgii Kravchenko Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oleg Prihodko Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Changwon: Sera Nishimoto vs Onyu Choi Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-05-22? Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Yi Zhou Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Car Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $24 −$29 -123%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Sean Cuenin vs Hugo Dellien Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Jun 13 $11 −$8 -77%
ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Takasaki: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Momoko Kobori Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$4,671
other 18% −$849
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) SELL Athletics 92¢ $38 26m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 99¢ $95 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 73¢ $78 43m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $18 56m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 43¢ $25 56m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 44¢ $26 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $6 58m
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) SELL Colorado Rockies 55¢ $17 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 32¢ $14 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 61¢ $3 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 61¢ $7 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 61¢ $5 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 61¢ $4 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 61¢ $8 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 92¢ $25 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 76¢ $25 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 58¢ $26 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 88¢ $25 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 30¢ $13 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 59¢ $26 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 58¢ $49 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 94¢ $25 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 94¢ $25 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 85¢ $25 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 30¢ $6 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 70¢ $22 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 100¢ $59 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 99¢ $14 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 75¢ $21 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 96¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 422 -47.7% -52.7% 30% 22% -33.3%
≤30d 1022 -26.7% -33.7% 41% 32% -31.5%
≤90d 1022 -26.7% -33.7% 41% 32% -31.5%
all 1022 -26.7% -33.7% 41% 32% -31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.7% 32% -31.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.1% 25% -38.1%
15% -45.8% 19% -44.1%
20% -51.2% 14% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.18 · official $23.18 (match) · 3500 history records