trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 16 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $117 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 07 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 15 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | May 11 | $118 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 14 | $119 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 10 | $119 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 31 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 27 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 21 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 17 | $120 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $120 | $0 | -0% |