Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b78…47cd
crypto · 172 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$6,206 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,206 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses114 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)179 / 172
History coverage14d
Avg bet$404
Trades / day247.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,212
7 days−$8,114
14 days−$6,206
30 days−$6,206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$27 +40422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,218 −$1,207 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $277 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $648 +$92 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $380 +$119 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $253 +$242 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $268 +$233 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $995 −$992 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $746 +$247 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $244 +$40 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $273 +$257 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $156 −$153 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $253 −$250 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$18 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $403 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$171 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $746 +$462 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$42 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $309 −$299 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $192 +$116 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2,288 −$2,288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $469 −$469 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $766 −$766 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $727 −$727 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $912 −$912 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $1,241 −$1,241 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $211 −$211 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,946 −$1,946 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1,170 −$1,170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $888 +$51 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $837 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $48 +$28 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $707 +$203 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $175 +$23 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $307 +$31 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $696 +$324 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $550 +$148 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $119 −$115 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,174
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +3.4% -6.5% 56% 38% -32.1%
≤30d 179 +3.7% -6.2% 64% 47% -17.7%
≤90d 179 +3.7% -6.2% 64% 47% -17.7%
all 179 +3.7% -6.2% 64% 47% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover247.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 47% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 32% -25.6%
15% -23.3% 26% -32.8%
20% -30.9% 21% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records