Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:04:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b73…174e
sports · 923 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$505 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$507 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$507
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses421 / 488
Est. fees paid−$337
Open positions15
Markets (closed)909 / 923
History coverage60d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 15 History 909 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$151
7 days+$117
14 days−$156
30 days−$362
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Under 56¢ 64¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+15%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 53¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+89%)
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Team Liquid 67¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+49%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 75¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? No 59¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 49¢ 86¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+74%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 80¢ 81¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 62¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ 46¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-24%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Connecticut Sun 30¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Over 54¢ 25¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Connecticut Sun 55¢ 75¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+36%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-64%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 56¢ 8¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-87%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 64¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 14? No 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Rajasthan Royals 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 43¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 15? No 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$12 +120%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$18 +182%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$13 +64%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $26 +$17 +66%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$39 +125%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$10 +100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$4 +116%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -99%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $24 +$5 +22%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 +$8 +22%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$33 +216%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $38 +$12 +32%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $18 +$8 +43%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 +$7 +90%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +126%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$16 +39%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $35 +$21 +60%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 −$24 -66%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $4 +$5 +117%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $38 −$38 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$659
other 10% +$439
crypto 6% −$174
world 2% −$29
politics 1% −$21
finance 1% −$20
weather 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $2 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 2m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $3 15m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $34 51m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $3 52m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $44 52m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 54¢ $3 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 77¢ $3 1h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 51¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 52¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 56¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 55¢ $0 1h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 49¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 30¢ $2 1h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 74¢ $3 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 45¢ $0 1h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 61¢ $3 2h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 62¢ $3 2h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 63¢ $2 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $4 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 64¢ $3 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 45¢ $2 2h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 69¢ $0 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 51¢ $2 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 386 +2.4% -7.4% 58% 55% -7.3%
≤30d 619 -0.1% -9.6% 52% 44% -11.0%
≤90d 909 +1.3% -8.4% 46% 39% -9.2%
all 909 +1.3% -8.4% 46% 39% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 39% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 35% -17.9%
15% -25.1% 28% -25.9%
20% -32.5% 21% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.15 · official $57.69 (match) · 3500 history records