Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b5e…d5bc
crypto · 1386 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$870 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$870 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$870
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses815 / 571
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1386 / 1386
History coverage21d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1386 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$852
14 days−$783
30 days−$870
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$870
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 448 -27.7% -34.6% 23% 16% -37.1%
≤30d 1386 -5.8% -14.8% 59% 19% -13.4%
≤90d 1386 -5.8% -14.8% 59% 19% -13.4%
all 1386 -5.8% -14.8% 59% 19% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 19% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 11% -21.7%
15% -30.4% 7% -29.2%
20% -37.2% 4% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records