Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:07:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b52…354e
sports · 652 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14,330 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,305 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$592
Realized−$14,305
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses393 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$619
Open positions14
Markets (closed)638 / 652
History coverage226d
Avg bet$1,505
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 14 History 638 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 12¢ 12¢ $600 $575 −$25 (-4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Lotte Giants 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Acend 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Cezar Cretu Cezar Cretu $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov Marat Sharipov 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 55¢ $512 $0 −$512 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage Lavked 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva Moyuka Uchijima 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $69 −$68 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $52 +$17 +33%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 02 $1,022 −$1,000 -98%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? May 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? May 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? May 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? May 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April? May 01 $5 $0 +2%
Will Solana dip to $10 in April? May 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April? May 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? May 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April? May 01 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 30 $501 −$488 -97%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 30 $1 $0 +0%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 29 $16 −$16 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26? Apr 29 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27? Apr 29 $1 $0 +0%
Avalanche vs. Kings Apr 29 $2 −$1 -47%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 29 $1 $0 +5%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 29 $1 $0 +5%
Lightning vs. Canadiens Apr 29 $1 +$1 +90%
Sabres vs. Bruins Apr 29 $1 +$1 +97%
Oilers vs. Ducks Apr 29 $1 +$1 +124%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 29 $1 +$1 +140%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 29 $1 +$2 +152%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 26 $3 −$3 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Apr 26 $1 −$1 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 26 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 26 $1,000 −$975 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, M Apr 26 $1 +$1 +119%
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweig Apr 26 $1 +$2 +180%
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Pre Apr 26 $1 +$1 +105%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $1 +$1 +129%
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Apr 26 $1 +$2 +152%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026? Apr 26 $26,836 +$29 +0%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 26 $1,000 −$979 -98%
Stars vs. Wild Apr 26 $1 +$1 +79%
Hurricanes vs. Senators Apr 26 $1 +$1 +93%
Penguins vs. Flyers Apr 26 $1 +$1 +101%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 26 $1 +$1 +124%
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims) Apr 26 $1 +$1 +124%
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweigh Apr 26 $1 +$2 +206%
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims) Apr 26 $1 +$4 +442%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 25? Apr 25 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Apr 25 $1 $0 +0%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 25 $1 $0 +38%
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Apr 25 $1 $0 +0%
Golden Knights vs. Utah Apr 25 $1 +$1 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% −$505
sports 6% −$12,788
economics 4% −$1,035
crypto 2% −$3
tech 0% +$2
politics 0% +$3
world 0% −$3
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $1 1h
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $103 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $513 1h
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 67¢ $69 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $69 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 74¢ $42 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 74¢ $10 36d
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 26¢ $1,022 41d
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Kiwoom DRX 13¢ $90 43d
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Kiwoom DRX 12¢ $411 43d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 42¢ $16 44d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 45¢ $2 47d
Avalanche vs. Kings BUY Avalanche 95¢ $1 47d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Los Angeles Angels 72¢ $1 47d
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY San Diego Padres $1 47d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Nongshim Red Force 17¢ $1,000 47d
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 29¢ $1,000 48d
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY HANJIN BRION 13¢ $200 49d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 456 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 27% -15.5%
all 638 -5.3% -14.3% 62% 22% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 22% -10.8%
10% -22.5% 21% -19.4%
15% -30.0% 18% -27.2%
20% -36.9% 16% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $591.93 · official $591.93 (match) · 1506 history records