Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b3d…8db7
other · 167 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$678 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$903 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$990
Realized−$903
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses46 / 152
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions319
Markets (closed)198 / 167
History coverage16d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day214.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit30%
Chart Positions 319 History 198 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,634
7 days−$2,419
14 days−$1,671
30 days−$903
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick? No 9¢ 11¢ $43 $50 +$7 (+17%)
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $40 $48 +$8 (+21%)
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 1¢ 24¢ $2 $35 +$33 (+1639%)
Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $35 +$17 (+94%)
Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $6 $34 +$29 (+524%)
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 1¢ 22¢ $2 $34 +$32 (+1565%)
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 2¢ 44¢ $2 $33 +$32 (+2032%)
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $32 $27 −$6 (-17%)
Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $23 $25 +$3 (+11%)
Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $46 $23 −$23 (-50%)
Will Tallon Griekspoor be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+25%)
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 1¢ 11¢ $2 $16 +$14 (+692%)
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $5 $16 +$11 (+228%)
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $22 $15 −$7 (-34%)
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $8 $13 +$6 (+74%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 10¢ $3 $13 +$10 (+331%)
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $5 $13 +$8 (+167%)
Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
Will Florian Wirtz record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 6¢ $2 $12 +$10 (+609%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+125%)
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+67%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+456%)
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+49%)
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs M Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 13 $3 −$6 -199%
Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -355%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Carnell Tate be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Bianca Andreescu win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Rueben Bain Jr. be drafted 7th overall in the 2026 pro football d Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Thunder vs. Suns Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 13 $84 −$111 -132%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Gran Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 13 $48 −$45 -95%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 13 $51 −$25 -49%
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 13 $6 −$11 -182%
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Volynets vs Clara Burel Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Jun 13 $0 +$64 +2663217%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Jermod McCoy be drafted 9th overall in the 2026 pro football draf Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Caleb Downs be drafted 6th overall in the 2026 pro football draft Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Marta Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Carson Beck be the 2nd quarterback drafted in the 2026 pro footba Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Andrew Putnam win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Jun 13 $49 +$187 +382%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$329
sports 16% +$817
politics 8% −$328
culture 5% −$66
crypto 1% +$27
world 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $7 1m
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $20 2m
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2m
Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Marie Bouzková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will Yulia Putintseva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Leylah Fernandez be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Tatjana Maria be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 8m
Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 8m
Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 8m
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 9m
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 10m
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 6¢ $8 10m
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 11m
Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 13m
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 3¢ $5 13m
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 90¢ $135 14m
Will Raphinha record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 20m
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 14¢ $19 22m
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 15¢ $21 22m
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 22m
Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 25m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 38m
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 38m
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 38m
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+46.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -6.3% -15.2% 15% 13% -63.5%
≤30d 198 +61.5% +46.1% 23% 21% -40.2%
≤90d 198 +61.5% +46.1% 23% 21% -40.2%
all 198 +61.5% +46.1% 23% 21% -40.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +46.1% 21% -40.2%
10% ← realistic here +32.1% 19% -45.9%
15% +19.3% 17% -51.1%
20% +7.6% 15% -55.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $989.87 · official $992.69 (match) · 3500 history records