Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T22:59:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2B 0x2b31…d52b crypto 40 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$145 (+1%) realized +$145 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate82%33W / 7L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$309per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$400
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 22% -12.5%
≤30d 40 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 22% -12.5%
≤90d 40 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 22% -12.5%
all 40 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 22% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 22% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 15% -20.8%
15% -29.7% 2% -28.5%
20% -36.6% 0% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$501) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$112 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses33 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage1d
Avg bet$309
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 27 $393 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 27 $384 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $503 −$503 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$18 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 27 $551 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $501 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 27 $502 +$25 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $102 −$80 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $551 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $101 −$19 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $551 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 27 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $603 −$27 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $102 +$34 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $552 +$28 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $551 +$22 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $550 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $138 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 27 $501 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $393 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $384 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $503 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $501 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $58 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $501 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $502 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 97 history records