trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,764 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $819 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $820 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $821 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $820 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $821 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $828 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $825 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $825 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $831 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $831 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $833 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $833 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $834 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $836 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $835 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $839 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $839 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $1,108 | −$57 | -5% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $842 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $779 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $905 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $905 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $906 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $295 | −$37 | -12% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $944 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $945 | −$1 | -0% |