trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 50% | 50% | -63.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 58% | 58% | -32.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 58% | 58% | -32.1% |
| all | 12 | -14.3% | -22.4% | 58% | 58% | -32.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 58% | -32.1% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 42% | -38.6% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 33% | -44.5% |
| 20% | -42.9% | 8% | -50.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-29%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$4 | +128% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $9 | +$4 | +42% |
| Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Jun 04 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $4 | −$2 | -60% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka | May 31 | $21 | +$5 | +22% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |