trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 9 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 0% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $455 | $456 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 96¢ | $283 | $288 | +$5 (+2%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | $216 | $220 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $96 | $96 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? | Jun 10 | $186 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | Jun 10 | $266 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 10 | $295 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 10 | $299 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | May 08 | $178 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 08 | $199 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | May 08 | $203 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | May 08 | $214 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 08 | $236 | +$6 | +2% |