Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2aec…20ed
crypto · 1233 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$289 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$289 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$289
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses514 / 658
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1172 / 1233
History coverage59d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day48.8
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$27
14 days+$99
30 days+$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +374%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +296%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +331%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +331%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +280%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$289
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 +0.6% -8.9% 43% 35% -6.9%
≤30d 762 +8.4% -1.9% 40% 35% -6.9%
≤90d 1172 +6.2% -3.9% 44% 37% -5.8%
all 1172 +6.2% -3.9% 44% 37% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 37% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 33% -14.8%
15% -21.5% 29% -23.0%
20% -29.2% 24% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records