trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +8.4% | -2.0% | 62% | 62% | +14.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 70% | 60% | +10.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 70% | 60% | +10.6% |
| all | 10 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 70% | 60% | +10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.2% | 60% | +10.6% |
| 10% | -9.8% | 40% | -0.0% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 30% | -9.7% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 20% | -18.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 34¢ | 70¢ | $30 | $62 | +$32 (+107%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Uruguay | 39¢ | 44¢ | $39 | $44 | +$4 (+12%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $30 | $31 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $21 | $17 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 32¢ | 6¢ | $40 | $7 | −$33 (-83%) |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 16¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots | Jun 21 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $34 | +$16 | +48% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $83 | +$17 | +20% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $30 | −$14 | -45% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | +$32 | +158% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $164 | +$36 | +22% |
| SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility? | Jun 13 | $201 | +$20 | +10% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | Jun 12 | $200 | +$52 | +26% |