Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ace…4b9d
crypto · 1688 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$374 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$374 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$374
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses637 / 1051
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1688 / 1688
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day144.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1688 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$60
14 days−$196
30 days−$374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$374
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -8.9% -17.6% 28% 18% -17.1%
≤30d 1688 -6.6% -15.5% 38% 31% -15.1%
≤90d 1688 -6.6% -15.5% 38% 31% -15.1%
all 1688 -6.6% -15.5% 38% 31% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover144.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 31% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 28% -23.2%
15% -31.0% 23% -30.6%
20% -37.7% 17% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.00 (match) · 3500 history records