trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 33% | 33% | -16.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 23% | 23% | -35.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 23% | 23% | -35.4% |
| all | 13 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 23% | 23% | -35.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.9% | 23% | -35.4% |
| 10% | -32.1% | 23% | -41.6% |
| 15% | -38.7% | 23% | -47.2% |
| 20% | -44.7% | 23% | -52.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 30¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$14 | +272% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$12 | +113% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |