Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:05:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2ab5…f5be
other · 39 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$303 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$304 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$524
Realized+$304
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses18 / 13
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions8
Markets (closed)31 / 39
History coverage14d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 8 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$243
14 days+$304
30 days+$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $85 $84 −$1 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+9%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 40¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Portugal 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$107 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$31 +152%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $101 +$84 +83%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $121 +$19 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $121 +$39 +32%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $121 +$21 +17%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $51 +$63 +124%
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 +$42 +414%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $51 +$116 +227%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $100 +$17 +17%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $71 −$70 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $21 −$21 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $100 +$15 +14%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $101 +$21 +21%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $41 +$30 +73%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $101 +$42 +42%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 07 $91 −$91 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $50 +$11 +23%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $110 +$28 +26%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $51 +$60 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% +$178
sports 17% +$103
crypto 4% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $85 54m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $101 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $51 11h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 27¢ $10 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $20 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $102 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 27h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $12 42h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $20 42h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $10 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 2d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $121 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $101 3d
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 3d
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 3d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 51¢ $51 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 75¢ $121 3d
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) BUY Venezuela 19¢ $10 3d
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 44¢ $51 3d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 85¢ $121 4d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 62¢ $71 4d
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 30¢ $51 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 31¢ $10 4d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 85¢ $100 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $11 5d
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 29¢ $31 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +4.2% -5.7% 57% 57% +2.2%
≤30d 31 +7.9% -2.3% 58% 58% +4.7%
≤90d 31 +7.9% -2.3% 58% 58% +4.7%
all 31 +7.9% -2.3% 58% 58% +4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.3% 58% +4.7%
10% -11.7% 42% -5.4%
15% -20.2% 32% -14.5%
20% -28.0% 26% -22.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $524.25 · official $524.26 (match) · 68 history records