trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 17% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 14% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -6.1% | -15.0% | 33% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 25 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 44% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 25 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $6 | $0 | +8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $30 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $32 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 24 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $45 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 20 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 28 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 20 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Os | Mar 21 | $5 | −$1 | -22% |
| Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday? | Mar 20 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will "Better Man" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 2? | Mar 02 | $5 | −$1 | -18% |
| Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Mar 02 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 25 | $11 | $0 | -3% |