Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:10:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2A 0x2a95…2d3e crypto 740 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2716 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,111 (-40%) realized −$1,111 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate49%372W / 383L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day2716.0pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$114
other 17% −$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2716 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 755 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 47% -17.4%
≤30d 755 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 47% -17.4%
≤90d 755 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 47% -17.4%
all 755 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 47% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2716.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 47% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 45% -25.3%
15% -32.4% 42% -32.5%
20% -39.0% 34% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -35% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses372 / 383
Open positions0
Markets (closed)755 / 740
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2716.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 755 Trades
no open positions (154 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records