trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +6.8% | -3.3% | 67% | 33% | -3.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +6.8% | -3.3% | 67% | 33% | -3.9% |
| all | 22 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 59% | 5% | -6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 5% | -6.1% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -15.1% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -23.3% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -30.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $87 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $51 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 24 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority? | May 14 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 19 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18? | Apr 17 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 15 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 14 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 30 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | -0% |