Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a8e…83d9
crypto · 780 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,038 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,038 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,038
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses418 / 362
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)780 / 780
Avg bet$25
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$118
14 days−$171
30 days−$306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$20 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $29 −$10 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $31 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $116 −$56 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $67 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $64 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,038
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -13.5% -21.8% 56% 29% -19.2%
≤30d 341 -10.7% -19.2% 56% 35% -20.9%
≤90d 780 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 34% -14.3%
all 780 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 34% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 34% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 18% -22.5%
15% -33.7% 9% -30.0%
20% -40.2% 4% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2526 history records