Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2A 0x2a8a…cb94 sports 76 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,002 (+6%) realized +$1,002 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate88%67W / 9L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown3%max
Avg bet$214per market
Trades / day72.3pace
Fees−$212est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$766
7 days+$1,121
14 days+$1,127
30 days+$1,145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 91% +$1,039
other 7% +$75
crypto 2% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +12.7% +2.0% 90% 29% -3.0%
≤30d 76 +11.0% +0.4% 88% 22% -3.2%
≤90d 76 +11.0% +0.4% 88% 22% -3.2%
all 76 +11.0% +0.4% 88% 22% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.4% 22% -3.2%
10% ← realistic here -9.2% 9% -12.4%
15% -18.0% 5% -20.9%
20% -26.0% 5% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +8% → late +14% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$5 · ×3.59 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×26.7 per $1 lost it wins $26.7
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,002
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses67 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$212
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage22d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day72.3
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Austria (-1.5) Jun 17 $1,215 +$146 +12%
Spread: Austria (-2.5) Jun 17 $126 +$14 +11%
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $400 +$30 +8%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 17 $1,309 +$53 +4%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 17 $363 +$29 +8%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 17 $1,600 +$134 +8%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $221 +$111 +50%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 16 $545 +$40 +7%
Spread: Norway (-3.5) Jun 16 $151 +$30 +20%
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Jun 16 $85 +$8 +9%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 16 $884 +$30 +3%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 16 $2,194 +$68 +3%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 16 $55 −$5 -8%
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) Jun 16 $399 +$58 +15%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $101 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? Jun 15 $9 +$3 +30%
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5) Jun 15 $66 +$1 +2%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Jun 15 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $17 +$5 +27%
Spread: Sweden (-2.5) Jun 15 $1,092 +$48 +4%
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) Jun 15 $1,016 +$32 +3%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $110 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? Jun 15 $13 +$1 +9%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Ecuador? Jun 15 $19 +$25 +135%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Jun 14 $358 +$28 +8%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Jun 14 $21 +$3 +15%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 14 $174 +$17 +10%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $180 +$120 +67%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $453 +$8 +2%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $196 +$20 +10%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $160 +$6 +4%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $120 +$22 +18%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $60 $0 -0%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 13 $94 +$19 +20%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $42 $0 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $109 +$11 +10%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $277 −$32 -12%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $475 −$3 -1%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $57 +$1 +2%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $97 +$6 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $345 +$11 +3%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $33 +$2 +5%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $161 +$7 +4%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $46 $0 +0%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 +$1 +4%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $18 +$4 +20%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $20 −$2 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Austria (-1.5) SELL Jordan 91¢ $926 1m
Spread: Austria (-2.5) SELL Jordan 98¢ $0 1m
Spread: Austria (-2.5) SELL Jordan 98¢ $1 1m
Spread: Austria (-2.5) SELL Jordan 98¢ $6 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $4 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $12 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $26 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $13 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $16 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $4 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $4 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 82¢ $36 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 83¢ $100 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 82¢ $7 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $38 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 82¢ $1 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 82¢ $25 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $97 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $98 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 82¢ $31 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 81¢ $99 1m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 74¢ $101 3m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 74¢ $98 3m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 62¢ $2 3m
Spread: Austria (-2.5) BUY Jordan 90¢ $2 4m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) SELL Austria 37¢ $1 4m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) SELL Austria 37¢ $3 4m
Spread: Austria (-2.5) BUY Jordan 90¢ $5 5m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) BUY Austria 28¢ $3 5m
Spread: Austria (-1.5) SELL Jordan 77¢ $211 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1608 history records