Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:35:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a82…2b0a
crypto · 1083 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses746 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1083
History coverage52d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$30
14 days+$42
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 +2.1% -7.6% 72% 72% -7.1%
≤30d 837 +1.0% -8.6% 72% 72% -8.8%
≤90d 1083 -0.5% -10.0% 69% 69% -9.5%
all 1083 -0.5% -10.0% 69% 69% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 69% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 64% -18.1%
15% -26.5% 40% -26.1%
20% -33.7% 22% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1961 history records