Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a80…ec4e
crypto · 514 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses368 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)514 / 514
History coverage52d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 514 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28? No 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$14
weather 17% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -0.7% -10.2% 68% 60% -10.0%
≤30d 409 -2.5% -11.8% 71% 64% -11.6%
≤90d 514 -3.3% -12.5% 72% 58% -12.4%
all 514 -3.3% -12.5% 72% 58% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 58% -12.4%
10% -20.8% 38% -20.8%
15% -28.5% 14% -28.5%
20% -35.5% 5% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 954 history records