Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a7b…d2ca
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses16 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day50.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -19.5% -27.1% 53% 43% -29.8%
≤30d 30 -19.5% -27.1% 53% 43% -29.8%
≤90d 30 -19.5% -27.1% 53% 43% -29.8%
all 30 -19.5% -27.1% 53% 43% -29.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 43% -29.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 30% -36.5%
15% -40.5% 20% -42.7%
20% -46.3% 13% -48.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 56 history records