trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +3.7% | -6.2% | 71% | 57% | -2.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 62% | 54% | -21.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 55% | 50% | -21.5% |
| all | 22 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 55% | 50% | -21.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.2% | 50% | -21.5% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 45% | -29.0% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 41% | -35.9% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 9% | -42.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $193 | $181 | −$11 (-6%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $30 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $34 | +$15 | +45% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$12 | +39% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $14 | −$11 | -81% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $60 | +$14 | +24% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $15 | +$15 | +96% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $31 | +$15 | +49% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran | Jun 15 | $19 | +$8 | +45% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $32 | +$14 | +43% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09? | May 10 | $31 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 06 | $26 | +$5 | +20% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 05 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr | May 04 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? | May 01 | $31 | +$14 | +43% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30? | May 01 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Apr 30 | $31 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |