Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a69…d2f7
sports · 532 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34,114 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35,035 · open +$920
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17,169
Realized−$35,035
Unrealized+$920
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses241 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Est. fees paid−$3,566
Open positions49
Markets (closed)734 / 532
History coverage3d
Avg bet$776
Trades / day1006.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 49 History 734 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179,682
7 days−$35,035
14 days−$35,035
30 days−$35,035
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 58¢ 100¢ $4,886 $8,444 +$3,558 (+73%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 85¢ 84¢ $2,196 $2,187 −$9 (-0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $2,027 $2,044 +$17 (+1%)
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $724 $701 −$23 (-3%)
Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-23? No 31¢ 64¢ $318 $656 +$338 (+106%)
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12? No 34¢ 52¢ $405 $626 +$221 (+55%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-23? No 21¢ 38¢ $209 $383 +$174 (+83%)
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5 Over 24¢ 60¢ $107 $271 +$163 (+152%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 90¢ $152 $153 +$1 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 80¢ $151 $150 −$1 (-1%)
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 53¢ $143 $143 +$0 (+0%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Yes 14¢ 49¢ $33 $114 +$81 (+247%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 87¢ 86¢ $110 $109 −$1 (-1%)
Club Blooming vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 50¢ $50 $99 +$49 (+97%)
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? No 70¢ 74¢ $93 $98 +$5 (+5%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 100¢ $34 $86 +$53 (+157%)
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Cambodia 17¢ 100¢ $13 $77 +$64 (+500%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 88¢ 88¢ $67 $67 +$0 (+1%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score No 44¢ 100¢ $28 $64 +$36 (+127%)
Exact Score: Caracas FC 0 - 0 Botafogo FR? Yes 10¢ 50¢ $13 $64 +$52 (+400%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 74¢ $62 $62 +$0 (+1%)
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ 43¢ $59 $59 +$0 (+0%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-22? Yes 46¢ 27¢ $83 $49 −$34 (-40%)
Will Club Blooming vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? No 79¢ 99¢ $35 $44 +$9 (+26%)
Spread: FathUnionSport (-2.5) Maghreb AS de Fès 94¢ 84¢ $37 $32 −$4 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $4,886 +$3,558 +73%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $28 +$36 +127%
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +245%
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,812 −$1,812 -100%
Will FC Gifu vs. Gainare Tottori end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Exact Score: Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Deportivo Alavés? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Exact Score: Philippines 1 - 0 Myanmar? Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
FC Volendam vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1,208 −$1,208 -100%
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) Jun 12 $640 −$640 -100%
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Dinamo 1948 vs. FCSB: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Júbilo Iwata vs. FC Ōsaka: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Will FK Oleksandriya win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 2 Denmark? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5) Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5) Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: CA Tigre 2 - 1 Club Alianza Atlético? Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $723 −$723 -100%
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $4,325 −$4,325 -100%
Exact Score: IR Tanger 1 - 1 Wydad Athletic Club? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $399 −$399 -100%
Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5) Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $622 −$622 -100%
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$41,900
other 44% +$49,322
crypto 0% +$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $5 1m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $110 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $67 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 13¢ $6 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $20 2m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $379 4m
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $12 7m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 84¢ $87 9m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $395 10m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 84¢ $210 11m
Spread: Derry City FC (-2.5) BUY Bohemians Dublin FC 85¢ $5 12m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $39 18m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $532 22m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $206 22m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $71 28m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $110 28m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $36 28m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $344 31m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $384 31m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $37 34m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $78 36m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 87¢ $110 36m
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: Both Teams to Scor BUY Yes 45¢ $9 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $19 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $22 42m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $94 43m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $43 43m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $52 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $28 45m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $62 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 734 +47.3% +33.2% 33% 29% -20.9%
≤30d 734 +47.3% +33.2% 33% 29% -20.9%
≤90d 734 +47.3% +33.2% 33% 29% -20.9%
all 734 +47.3% +33.2% 33% 29% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1006.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.2% 29% -20.9%
10% +20.5% 25% -28.5%
15% ← realistic here +8.8% 23% -35.4%
20% -1.8% 21% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,169.23 · official $17,162.07 (match) · 3500 history records