Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a69…ddb7
crypto · 280 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses121 / 159
Open positions0
Markets (closed)280 / 280
History coverage6d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day436.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$25 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$38 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$26 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$30 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$70 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$31 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$23 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$30 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$27 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$28 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$39 -84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$94
tech 1% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 -9.5% -18.1% 43% 40% -10.5%
≤30d 280 -9.5% -18.1% 43% 40% -10.5%
≤90d 280 -9.5% -18.1% 43% 40% -10.5%
all 280 -9.5% -18.1% 43% 40% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover436.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 40% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 37% -19.1%
15% -33.1% 35% -26.9%
20% -39.7% 32% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3060 history records