Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:21:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a59…fa8a
crypto · 1210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$498 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$495 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$34
Realized−$495
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses702 / 595
Open positions12
Markets (closed)1297 / 1210
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1325.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 12 History 1297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$495
7 days−$495
14 days−$495
30 days−$495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 51¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 42¢ 62¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+49%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 42¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 42¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 43¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+29%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 42¢ 55¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+31%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 42¢ 49¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 43¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 42¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 53¢ 44¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 42¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 42¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 42¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 42¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+75%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 42¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1884%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -88%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -285%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -420%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -962%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1722%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -143%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -170%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$106
other 23% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up $0 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1297 -20.9% -28.4% 54% 41% -17.4%
≤30d 1297 -20.9% -28.4% 54% 41% -17.4%
≤90d 1297 -20.9% -28.4% 54% 41% -17.4%
all 1297 -20.9% -28.4% 54% 41% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1325.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.4% 41% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.3% 12% -25.3%
15% -41.5% 9% -32.5%
20% -47.3% 7% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.04 · official $37.27 · 3500 history records