Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:57:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a57…071c
crypto · 893 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$903 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,617 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$1,617
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses437 / 493
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)930 / 893
History coverage17d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day181.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 930 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,539
7 days−$2,458
14 days−$1,838
30 days−$1,617
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 100¢ $19 $32 +$13 (+67%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 65¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$5 (+53%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 59¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Top Esports 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$935
sports 4% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 12¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 25¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 25¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 25¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 25¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 27¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 27¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 11¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 59¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $3 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 31¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 -46.3% -51.4% 26% 26% -55.0%
≤30d 930 -6.7% -15.6% 47% 47% -23.9%
≤90d 930 -6.7% -15.6% 47% 47% -23.9%
all 930 -6.7% -15.6% 47% 47% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover181.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 47% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 47% -31.2%
15% -31.0% 47% -37.9%
20% -37.8% 46% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.86 · official $52.86 (match) · 3500 history records