trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +63.2% | +47.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 80% | 80% | +38.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 47% | 35% | -57.0% |
| all | 26 | -23.2% | -30.5% | 46% | 35% | -56.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 35% | -56.5% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 31% | -60.6% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 31% | -64.4% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 19% | -67.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $2 | $3 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $41 | +$24 | +60% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $14 | +$7 | +46% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$15 | +97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Apr 19 | $9 | −$4 | -45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Mar 31 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 26 | $5 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 25 | $75 | −$74 | -98% |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 25 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 25 | $76 | −$74 | -97% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 25 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 25 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | Mar 23 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Mar 22 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Mar 22 | $2 | +$1 | +48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Mar 19 | $2 | +$2 | +87% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 18 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 17 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 | Mar 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw? | Mar 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Mar 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |