Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a48…9ba8
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses25 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)47 / 50
History coverage193d
Avg bet$654
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 3 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 95¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 23? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19? No 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 29? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 27? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on February 19? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 20? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market cl Jun 01 $11 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $12 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? May 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12? May 13 $1,837 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12? May 12 $1,833 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11? May 12 $1,830 +$3 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11? May 11 $1,826 +$3 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10? May 11 $1,823 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10? May 10 $1,819 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8? May 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? May 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? May 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? May 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? May 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on Ap May 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? May 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? Apr 02 $26 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? Mar 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5? Mar 06 $2,182 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4? Mar 05 $2,176 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3? Mar 04 $2,171 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2? Mar 03 $2,165 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1? Mar 02 $2,161 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28? Mar 01 $2,154 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27 Feb 28 $2,145 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 2 Feb 27 $2,141 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 25? Feb 26 $2,135 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $2,128 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 2 Feb 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on February 1 Feb 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19? Feb 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 14? Feb 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11 Feb 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$390 on the final day of trading of th Feb 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5? Feb 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31? Feb 02 $6 $0 +0%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? Feb 02 $6 $0 -0%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 1? Feb 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 23? Jan 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 23 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29? Dec 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 29? Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 27? Dec 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27? Dec 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
other 0% $0
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market cl BUY No 100¢ $11 17d
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026? BUY No 99¢ $12 23d
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 30d
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,837 31d
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,833 31d
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,830 32d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,826 32d
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $1,823 33d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $1,819 33d
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 35d
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 37d
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 38d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 39d
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 42d
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on Ap BUY No 100¢ $5 60d
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? BUY No 95¢ $5 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? BUY Yes 98¢ $26 74d
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 91d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5? BUY No 100¢ $2,182 100d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4? BUY No 100¢ $2,176 101d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3? BUY No 100¢ $2,171 101d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2? BUY No 100¢ $2,165 103d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1? BUY No 100¢ $2,161 103d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28? BUY No 100¢ $2,154 105d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27 BUY No 100¢ $2,145 106d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 2 BUY No 100¢ $2,141 107d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 25? BUY No 100¢ $2,135 108d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24? BUY No 100¢ $2,128 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-47.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 17 -41.0% -46.6% 59% 0% -9.6%
all 47 -42.4% -47.8% 53% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.8% 0% -9.5%
10% -52.8% 0% -18.2%
15% -57.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -61.6% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.79 · official $17.79 (match) · 86 history records