Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a47…a1b1
crypto · 100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses60 / 39
Open positions1
Markets (closed)99 / 100
History coverage14d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$110
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 70¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$10 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$15 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$17 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$109
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $16 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $17 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $17 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 54% -20.2%
≤30d 99 -5.6% -14.5% 61% 54% -20.2%
≤90d 99 -5.6% -14.5% 61% 54% -20.2%
all 99 -5.6% -14.5% 61% 54% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 54% -20.2%
10% -22.7% 44% -27.8%
15% -30.2% 30% -34.8%
20% -37.0% 20% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.31 · official $1.11 (match) · 213 history records