Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a46…27ab
crypto · 172 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$90 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses77 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage29d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$53
14 days−$288
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$15 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$12 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$32 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$62 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 03 $33 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 03 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 03 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 03 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 03 $16 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 03 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 03 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 03 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$18 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 03 $61 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 03 $41 +$28 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $104 −$30 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 03 $81 −$12 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $62 +$41 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 03 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 03 $11 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 03 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 03 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 03 $62 −$16 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$330
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-28.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -6.0% -15.0% 52% 44% -18.6%
≤30d 172 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 39% -16.3%
≤90d 172 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 39% -16.3%
all 172 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 39% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.6% 39% -16.3%
10% -35.4% 32% -24.3%
15% -41.7% 27% -31.6%
20% -47.4% 19% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 613 history records