Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a2a…9468
other · 165 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$93 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses20 / 144
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)164 / 165
History coverage95d
Avg bet$140
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$17
14 days−$34
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 92¢ 92¢ $53 $53 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 13 $45 $0 +0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 13 $54 −$1 -2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $216 −$2 -1%
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $52 $0 -1%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $148 −$3 -2%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $439 −$1 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 11 $60 $0 +0%
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $66 $0 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 11 $84 $0 -0%
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 Jun 10 $55 −$4 -8%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $46 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 09 $491 −$1 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $66 −$1 -1%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $49 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $237 −$1 -0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $58 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $224 −$1 -0%
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 06 $51 −$1 -1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 06 $50 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 06 $163 −$2 -1%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $114 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 05 $164 −$2 -1%
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $48 −$3 -7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $60 −$1 -1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 04 $225 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 04 $48 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $48 −$1 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $52 −$1 -1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $120 $0 -0%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 03 $51 $0 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 03 $368 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $162 −$1 -1%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 02 $43 −$1 -1%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $220 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $311 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $380 +$2 +1%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $153 $0 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $205 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $129 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 31 $104 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $191 $0 -0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $39 −$1 -2%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 29 $262 −$1 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $111 −$1 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 29 $61 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 28 $131 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 28 $160 −$1 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 28 $382 −$3 -1%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 26 $75 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 25 $55 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 32% −$24
other 25% −$29
sports 16% −$22
crypto 9% −$10
economics 6% −$5
finance 5% +$4
world 4% −$5
culture 2% $0
tech 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 92¢ $53 49m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? SELL No 98¢ $45 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? BUY No 98¢ $45 9h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $53 10h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $54 14h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 92¢ $62 14h
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 92¢ $63 22h
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 97¢ $52 23h
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 97¢ $52 30h
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $50 31h
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 97¢ $50 37h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $44 37h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $44 45h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL No 95¢ $61 46h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 94¢ $60 2d
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 98¢ $65 2d
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $66 2d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $25 2d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $25 2d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 95¢ $59 2d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $29 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $5 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $25 3d
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 SELL No 88¢ $51 3d
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 BUY No 95¢ $55 3d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $46 3d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $46 3d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $45 3d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $45 3d
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 90¢ $65 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -1.0% -10.5% 11% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 70 -0.8% -10.2% 11% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 158 -0.5% -10.0% 13% 0% -9.9%
all 164 -0.5% -10.0% 12% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.79 · official $52.79 (match) · 678 history records