Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a12…b81b
crypto · 135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$226 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$222 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$226
Realized−$222
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses56 / 77
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions2
Markets (closed)133 / 135
History coverage24d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day57.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days−$34
14 days−$185
30 days−$222
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $155 $153 −$2 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 50¢ 49¢ $75 $74 −$2 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Yes 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$30 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$16 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$63 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $179 +$119 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $147 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$28 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$26 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $70 +$36 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$31 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $69 −$46 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $144 −$63 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $64 −$20 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 02 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 02 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 02 $21 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 02 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 02 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 02 $44 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 02 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -94%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $84 −$82 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 02 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 02 $40 +$152 +379%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 02 $41 +$41 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 30 $27 −$26 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 30 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 30 $16 +$16 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 30 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 30 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 30 $61 −$35 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 30 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 30 $15 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 29 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 29 $42 +$17 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 29 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 29 $48 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 29 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 29 $45 −$23 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 29 $35 +$20 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 29 $55 −$31 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 29 $95 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 29 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 29 $106 −$17 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$273
sports 14% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 50¢ $76 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $158 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $85 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $18 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $26 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -31.9% -38.4% 27% 27% -14.7%
≤30d 133 +2.3% -7.5% 42% 40% -16.6%
≤90d 133 +2.3% -7.5% 42% 40% -16.6%
all 133 +2.3% -7.5% 42% 40% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 40% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 36% -24.6%
15% -24.4% 32% -31.8%
20% -31.8% 24% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $226.41 · official $222.22 · 1433 history records