trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | No | 95¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | Jun 02 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in May? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 18 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Apr 18 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Apr 18 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | Apr 18 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 29 | $11 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | Mar 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 05 | $15,192 | +$27 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.3% | -5.6% | 100% | 0% | -5.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 100% | 9% | -5.3% |
| all | 13 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 92% | 8% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 8% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.2% |