Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a0a…f1d4
sports · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses9 / 23
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day339.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$56
14 days−$56
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $8 $0 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $30 −$2 -6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $581 −$27 -5%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $115 −$4 -3%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $283 −$7 -2%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $11 $0 -2%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $26 −$1 -3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $57 −$2 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $16 +$3 +16%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $19 −$1 -3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $18 +$4 +24%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $17 −$10 -57%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $86 −$12 -14%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 $0 -2%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $65 −$2 -3%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 12 $51 −$2 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 +$3 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$6 +65%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% −$44
sports 35% −$12
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 77¢ $7 5m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 73¢ $8 5m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners SELL Over 52¢ $10 5m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $10 10m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $10 11m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $8 11m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $9 11m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $10 11m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $10 12m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 69¢ $9 12m
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 75¢ $7 12m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $9 13m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $19 13m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $10 13m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 69¢ $9 13m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $10 13m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 77¢ $11 13m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $9 13m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $7 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $5 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 77¢ $13 14m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 53¢ $10 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $7 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $7 14m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $10 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 77¢ $6 14m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 53¢ $15 14m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $7 14m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $5 15m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $10 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 28% 22% -12.9%
≤30d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 28% 22% -12.9%
≤90d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 28% 22% -12.9%
all 32 -0.2% -9.7% 28% 22% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover339.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 22% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 19% -21.2%
15% -26.3% 12% -28.8%
20% -33.5% 6% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 344 history records