Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2A
0x2a08…12d9
sports · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$151 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$141
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses25 / 91
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions27
Markets (closed)116 / 143
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day113.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 27 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$141
14 days−$141
30 days−$141
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 69¢ 68¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? No 40¢ 40¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 28¢ 30¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 55¢ 62¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 40¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 32¢ 32¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 14¢ 18¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+21%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? No 21¢ 24¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+12%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 6¢ 3¢ $5 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 37¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 35¢ 18¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-47%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 38¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Knicks 7¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15? Yes 21¢ 17¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-19%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Sashi Academy 0¢ 18¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No 33¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 45¢ 26¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-41%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $3 +$10 +377%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -51%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$2 -39%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $19 −$1 -7%
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$6 -59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 −$2 -47%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $22 $0 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $23 −$9 -40%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$2 -22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$2 -70%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 −$1 -3%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $6 $0 -9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -28%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 $0 -9%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 -8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +69%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -58%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -21%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 11 $23 −$2 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$89
other 25% −$43
world 7% −$3
tech 6% −$14
crypto 2% −$2
finance 2% +$1
politics 2% +$3
weather 0% −$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Sashi Academy 19¢ $2 0m
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 2m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 21¢ $1 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 21¢ $3 3m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 41¢ $3 4m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 45¢ $3 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 90¢ $8 6m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 78¢ $7 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 80¢ $6 13m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 13¢ $4 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 80¢ $7 17m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 33¢ $2 17m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 35¢ $13 18m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 38¢ $2 18m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 9¢ $2 20m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 7¢ $3 28m
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 30m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 21¢ $4 31m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 18¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 29¢ $4 33m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 63¢ $3 34m
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem BUY Yes 69¢ $17 34m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 42¢ $19 34m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $17 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 46¢ $17 36m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 62¢ $3 37m
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? SELL No 71¢ $4 40m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $2 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -11.7% -20.1% 22% 14% -26.2%
≤30d 116 -11.7% -20.1% 22% 14% -26.2%
≤90d 116 -11.7% -20.1% 22% 14% -26.2%
all 116 -11.7% -20.1% 22% 14% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 14% -26.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 11% -33.2%
15% -34.7% 11% -39.7%
20% -41.1% 9% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.67 · official $99.67 (match) · 332 history records