trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$12 | +240% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $3 | +$2 | +76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$57 | +1074% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? | Jun 13 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26? | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | May 26 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? | May 19 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 18% | 18% | -33.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 15% | 15% | -43.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 15% | 15% | -43.0% |
| all | 20 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 15% | 15% | -43.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.5% | 15% | -43.0% |
| 10% | -30.8% | 15% | -48.5% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 15% | -53.4% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 15% | -58.0% |