Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T01:21:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
29 0x29b7…5565 crypto 2064 markets active 2h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,104 (+10%) realized +$2,104 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR72%break-even
Win rate75%1442W / 493L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day99.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$47now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,334
7 days−$1,072
14 days−$531
30 days+$1,127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,547
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 -24.5% -31.7% 54% 52% -30.7%
≤30d 1935 +5.7% -4.4% 75% 72% -4.1%
≤90d 1935 +5.7% -4.4% 75% 72% -4.1%
all 1935 +5.7% -4.4% 75% 72% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover99.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 72% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 55% -13.3%
15% -21.9% 37% -21.7%
20% -29.6% 24% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +16% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$47
Realized+$2,104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1442 / 493
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1935 / 2064
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day99.5
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1935 Trades
no open positions (497 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $0 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 23 $0 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $11 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.43 · official $45.54 · 3500 history records