Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x29b5…cc6c
sports · 272 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$75,578 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75,862 · open +$283
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39,881
Realized−$75,862
Unrealized+$283
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses111 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$6,305
Open positions39
Markets (closed)234 / 272
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1,817
Trades / day581.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 39 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,419
7 days−$75,862
14 days−$75,862
30 days−$75,862
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 38¢ $4,994 $5,067 +$73 (+1%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 59¢ 60¢ $3,603 $3,646 +$43 (+1%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 60¢ $3,947 $3,524 −$424 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 14¢ $3,180 $3,053 −$127 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $3,112 $3,043 −$70 (-2%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) G2 73¢ 100¢ $2,198 $2,991 +$793 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 55¢ $2,560 $2,948 +$388 (+15%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 36¢ $1,990 $2,043 +$53 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $1,975 $1,945 −$30 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 45¢ 50¢ $1,366 $1,536 +$170 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 51¢ 100¢ $658 $1,279 +$620 (+94%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) PARIVISION 35¢ 100¢ $379 $1,095 +$715 (+189%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 50¢ 50¢ $871 $863 −$9 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $748 $715 −$33 (-4%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) G2 34¢ 100¢ $233 $691 +$458 (+196%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 20¢ $1,744 $605 −$1,139 (-65%)
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 64¢ 64¢ $538 $534 −$4 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 54¢ 52¢ $556 $527 −$29 (-5%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Legacy 53¢ 55¢ $496 $512 +$16 (+3%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Aurora Gaming 43¢ 42¢ $494 $488 −$6 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 23¢ 26¢ $365 $403 +$38 (+11%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) G2 64¢ 50¢ $500 $387 −$113 (-23%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 61¢ 60¢ $286 $284 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $229 $228 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 34¢ 34¢ $213 $210 −$3 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,984 −$4,984 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $3,021 +$1,319 +44%
Map Handicap: Abyssal (-1.5) vs MARKandLARRY (+1.5) Jun 12 $166 −$166 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $565 −$565 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $5,493 −$5,493 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $116 −$8 -7%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $737 −$114 -16%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $502 +$260 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $758 +$900 +119%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$3 -6%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $280 −$4 -2%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $181 +$47 +26%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $14,556 +$8,530 +59%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 12 $531 +$877 +165%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,153 +$932 +81%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $756 +$535 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $751 +$558 +74%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $21,161 +$1,555 +7%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $767 −$767 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $137 +$234 +170%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $160 +$127 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $32 +$18 +55%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,587 +$1,408 +89%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $253 +$303 +120%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,483 −$1,483 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $498 +$336 +67%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $168 +$277 +165%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,256 +$1,174 +52%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $134 +$153 +114%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $766 +$666 +87%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $282 +$149 +53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $440 −$440 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $270 +$212 +79%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $505 −$505 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $761 −$761 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $178 −$178 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $49 −$49 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $500 +$270 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $761 +$902 +119%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $502 −$502 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,949 −$1,949 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,313 +$2,684 +116%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,046 +$1,636 +156%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$75,380
other 0% −$198
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $169 14m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $124 14m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $209 14m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $227 14m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $193 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $296 14m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $271 14m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $16 14m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $165 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $176 28m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $133 28m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $219 28m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $230 28m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $207 28m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $309 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $292 28m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $2 28m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $56 28m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 50¢ $3 28m
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) BUY OLDBOYS- 75¢ $76 28m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $10 43m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $11 43m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $11 44m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $178 44m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $138 44m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $48 44m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $221 44m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $267 44m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $312 44m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $301 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 47% -24.7%
≤30d 234 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 47% -24.7%
≤90d 234 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 47% -24.7%
all 234 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 47% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover581.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 47% -24.7%
10% -15.9% 44% -31.9%
15% ← realistic here -24.0% 41% -38.5%
20% -31.5% 35% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39,880.77 · official $40,436.19 · 3500 history records