Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:10:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
29 0x29a7…55ec crypto 262 markets active 5d ago coverage 83d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$7 (-1%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%253W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$13
other 11% +$3
tech 2% +$1
finance 1% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 53 +0.6% -9.0% 98% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 262 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 2% -10.1%
all 262 -0.8% -10.2% 97% 2% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 2% -10.1%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses253 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)262 / 262
History coverage83d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 262 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 98¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 524 history records