Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x2977…b566
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses8 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $2 $8 +$5 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$27 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$16 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$68 +524%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$35 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$22 +275%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 28% -10.5%
≤30d 29 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 28% -10.5%
≤90d 29 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 28% -10.5%
all 29 -10.3% -18.8% 28% 28% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 28% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 28% -19.1%
15% -33.7% 28% -26.9%
20% -40.2% 28% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.58 · official $7.58 (match) · 98 history records