Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x2968…8438
crypto · 590 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$352 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$372 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized−$372
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses284 / 301
Open positions5
Markets (closed)585 / 590
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day2206.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$372
7 days−$372
14 days−$372
30 days−$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 45¢ 50¢ $40 $44 +$4 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 44¢ 50¢ $32 $37 +$4 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 50¢ 94¢ $19 $36 +$17 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 55¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 46¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$17 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$72 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$30 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$18 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$9 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$35 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$17 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$60 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$65 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$33 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$37 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$352
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 +6.1% -4.0% 49% 44% -12.4%
≤30d 585 +6.1% -4.0% 49% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 585 +6.1% -4.0% 49% 44% -12.4%
all 585 +6.1% -4.0% 49% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2206.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 44% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 42% -20.8%
15% -21.6% 39% -28.5%
20% -29.3% 37% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.15 · official $131.40 (match) · 3500 history records