Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:23:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

29
0x293b…3041
crypto · 481 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$454 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$590 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$590
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses256 / 215
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)471 / 481
History coverage22d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days−$652
14 days−$892
30 days−$590
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 62¢ 80¢ $9 $11 +$3 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 69¢ 84¢ $9 $10 +$2 (+21%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 67¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 74¢ 77¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 76¢ 50¢ $8 $6 −$3 (-35%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 60¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 66¢ 26¢ $9 $3 −$5 (-62%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ 30¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-41%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 57¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 54¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +51%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$599
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -21.9% -29.4% 52% 45% -34.5%
≤30d 471 -3.6% -12.8% 54% 48% -18.7%
≤90d 471 -3.6% -12.8% 54% 48% -18.7%
all 471 -3.6% -12.8% 54% 48% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 48% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 41% -26.5%
15% -28.8% 35% -33.6%
20% -35.8% 26% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.78 · official $53.82 · 1514 history records